Batch 02 — Prediction Engine

New Issue

The product's core intellectual property. Replaces BaselinePredictionEngine with the engine PRODUCT_PLAN.md §12 specifies: recency weighting, a robust centre, variability-driven windows, trend detection, prediction snapshots and recalculation on every confirmed start, edit and 'Not yet'.

Landed when: all §51 acceptance cases pass against the new engine, PredictionRecord snapshots are stored before outcomes are known, and the engine is measurably better than the baseline rather than merely different.

No due date

100% Completed

Swap the engine binding and prove the replacement beats the baseline

#14 by null was closed 2026-08-18 03:16:15 -05:00

Detect a possible missing period and ask, never correct it silently

#13 by null was closed 2026-08-18 03:06:41 -05:00

"Not yet" conditions the forecast instead of clamping the window

#12 by null was closed 2026-08-18 03:16:15 -05:00

Prediction window and confidence from variability rather than a fixed spread

#11 by null was closed 2026-08-18 03:16:15 -05:00

Recency-weighted robust centre, replacing the baseline median

#10 by null was closed 2026-08-18 03:16:15 -05:00